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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 48% (881–960, n=1841) | 44% (11385–14473, n=25858) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $99K | -$8.8M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #975 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #111 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (44 of 53 open) | 64% (105 of 163 open) | 61% (34 of 56 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Science −12 pts, n=19 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $294K | — | Texans $40K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $179K | — | Cowboys $6.9K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $132K | — | Patriots $10K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $91K | — | Texans $40K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $102K | — | Patriots $26K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $101K | — | Cowboys $60 | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $12K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | — | No $357 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | — | — | No $346K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $142K | — | Bulls $11K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $74K | Yes $8.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Colts | Colts $24K | — | Colts $8.8K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | Yes $12 | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3.9K | — | Chargers $5 | — |