← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | brrrrother444 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $60K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #448 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (178 of 258 open) | 61% (35 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 1 at avg 48¢, ROI +52% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 0% | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | brrrrother444 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $4.1K | No $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $34 | Under $919 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens | — | — | Sloane Stephens $299 | Luciana Perry $319 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | — | — | Elmer Moeller $387 | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | — | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | Ivan Gakhov $238 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $24 | Under $229 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $108 | Warriors $130 |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | — | Anna Siskova $60 | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Over $29 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $46K | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $44K | No $19K |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | — | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $19K | Yes $12K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | — | — | Filip Misolic $4.3K | Filip Misolic $11K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.4K | Under $8.8K |
| Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.9K | No $3.4K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.5K | Under $2.4K |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.6K | No $3.9K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | No $1.1K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.1K | Over $1.9K |
| Celtic FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $453 | No $2.0K |
| W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova same side · consensus Valeriya Strakhova | — | — | Valeriya Strakhova $971 | Valeriya Strakhova $553 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA River Plate end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $831 | No $474 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $589 | No $109 |
| Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb | — | — | GNK Dinamo Zagreb $514 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb $146 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $171 | Over $393 |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) same side · consensus AZ | — | — | AZ $345 | AZ $4 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $138 | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |
| CA Aldosivi vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $10 | Over $152 |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $102 | No $11 |