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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 40% (3386–5156, n=8542) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$465K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #273 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 70% (362 of 515 open) | 67% (24 of 36 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | Yes $361 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $80K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $22K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | No $372 | — | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $3 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $758 | Yes $130 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $176 | No $270 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $345 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $82 | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.4K | Yes $58 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $101 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $791 |