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Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (50%) · No at 97¢ · $637 held · ends Jul 1, 2027
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 50%
Total Value
$636.77
Combined PnL
-$6.34
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes3%
No97%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$603.63
Total Shares618
Combined PnL-$0.31
Yes1 trader
Total Value$33.14
Total Shares1,410
Combined PnL-$6.03
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486 | Noavg 97.2¢ | $600.7 | $603.63 | -$0.31 | 12% 18-136 (154) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.8¢ | $39.17 | $33.14 | -$6.03 | 65% 6454-3411 (9865) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance97.9%
96.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$2.19
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
102.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb266b012...66d5b9
Slug
will-los-angeles-lakers-win-the-2027-nba-finals