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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHRAImail-.-omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)no settled market50% (15059–15076, n=30135)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$11.2M—$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #469PM monthly #56PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)50% (6 of 12 open)55% (102 of 185 open)67% (113 of 168 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%90% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 0% of 1)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)0%21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)0%38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)90% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHRAImail-.-omnibus-076daaRN1
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24KNo $12—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7.9KNo $11K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15K—Yes $2.1K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
——Luca Van Assche $59Learner Tien $16K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.9KYes $648—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
——Franziska Sziedat $213Martyna Kubka $2.4K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
——Alexandre Aubriot $2.5KHenri Haupt $54
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
——Isabella Shinikova $4Gina Feistel $1.7K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
——Eric Vanshelboim $663Ignacio Parisca $302
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
——Robert Guna $24Tomas Curras Abasolo $929
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $663
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $567No $136—
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
——Bruno Pujol Navarro $67Iliyan Radulov $612
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
——Aren Baybars $2Leonid Sheyngezikht $384
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
——Lisa Pigato $46Gaia Maduzzi $56
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
——Michael Wright $3Jeremy Gschwendtner $56
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $10KLorenzo Musetti $53K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16K—Yes $1.6K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $29Over $7.8K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.2KYes $458
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
——Deborah Chiesa $18Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
——Jeline Vandromme $96Jeline Vandromme $679
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
same side · consensus Pia Lovric
——Pia Lovric $37Pia Lovric $250
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—