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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)63% (990–573, n=1563)49% (6393–6579, n=12972)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$3.2M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #102PM monthly #678
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)72% (208 of 288 open)72% (95 of 132 open)54% (13 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1youcanbuythisbot
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $2
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7—Yes $993K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $845
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $374
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $572—Under $36
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $548—No $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $466—Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $476—Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343—Under $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $293—Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $225—Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $1
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $138—Yes $19
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $8