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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)70% (173 of 246 open)no open consensus position58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
opposite sides · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $334—Chun-Chien Hou $83
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Remy Bertola $64—Kilian Feldbausch $265
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $7.6K—Anna Blinkova $47K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $11K—Tommy Paul $31K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
—Magda Linette $5.0K—Magda Linette $8.5K
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
—Kasidit Samrej $2.9K—Kasidit Samrej $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Melios Efstathiou $222—Melios Efstathiou $227
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42