Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1uu9978
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)83% (5–1, n=6)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)70% (136 of 195 open)57% (47 of 83 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%80% of 5 at avg 61¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)40% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)40% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1uu9978
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7KHeat $79Warriors $520—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Jaguars $7.4K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Jaguars $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Jaguars $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $409Canucks $867—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $31—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $678—
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $153Oilers $675—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428Warriors $110—
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $353—
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122Under $170—
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $96Over $128—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131Yes $33—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $114Yes $40—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K—Ravens $1.9K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $9.6KOver $1.2K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KOver $2.4K—
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $1.7K—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4KNo $226—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $246No $2.2K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $630—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $160—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293—Ravens $1.2K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $326—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $219No $92—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
Flyers vs. Rangers
same side · consensus Rangers
—Flyers $86Flyers $98—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $158Under $13—
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $18Canucks $95—
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Penguins
—Penguins $34Penguins $52—
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $28Over $9—
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
same side · consensus EC Bahia
—Cruzeiro EC $2Cruzeiro EC $34—