Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Magic vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
Resolved Under. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
17
Over 59%
$64.1K
$1.6K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 17 top traders (59%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() CUTJALENHURTSCTR | Overavg 54.2Β’ | $24.6K | β | $-24.6K | 52% 6140-5771 (11911) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Underavg 47Β’ | $25.7K | $54.3K | +$28.6K | 46% 1607-1883 (3490) |
LU luckycat888888 | Underavg 54Β’ | $4.9K | $9.0K | +$4.1K | 49% 91-95 (186) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Overavg 45.3Β’ | $2.6K | β | $-2.2K | 51% 4776-4635 (9411) |
SU SunflowaRebuildYearCTR | Overavg 42.5Β’ | $935 | β | -$935 | 46% 431-514 (945) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Overavg 50.8Β’ | $1.1K | β | $-1.1K | 52% 4919-4468 (9387) |
![]() RN1CTR | Overavg 47.6Β’ | $887.88 | β | -$887.88 | 53% 61623-53954 (115577) |
![]() latvian.demonCTR | Overavg 52.2Β’ | $653.12 | β | -$653.12 | 54% 788-661 (1449) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Overavg 48.5Β’ | $434.27 | β | -$434.27 | 53% 12171-10676 (22847) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 44.3Β’ | $317.08 | β | -$522.48 | 54% 18236-15351 (33587) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Underavg 54.2Β’ | $5.2K | $663.32 | +$116.79 | 56% 8330-6493 (14823) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Underavg 54Β’ | $41.58 | $89.41 | +$47.84 | 48% 61607-66479 (128086) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375<$100 | Underavg 38.8Β’ | $27.95 | $50.43 | +$22.48 | 50% 4446-4373 (8819) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Overavg 49.4Β’ | $109.95 | β | -$28.75 | 54% 9944-8355 (18299) |
HE Herdonia<$100 | Underavg 55Β’ | $11 | $20 | +$9 | 51% 3806-3729 (7535) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 19Β’ | $0.95 | $5 | +$4.05 | 47% 9391-10519 (19910) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Overavg 44Β’ | $0.79 | β | -$0.79 | 52% 8805-8014 (16819) |
CUTJALENHURTSCTRInvested
$24,554.98
Value
β
PnL
$-24.6K
Record
52%
6140-5771 (11911)
Invested
$25,742.43
Value
$54.3K
PnL
+$28.6K
Record
46%
1607-1883 (3490)
Invested
$4,860.51
Value
$9.0K
PnL
+$4.1K
Record
49%
91-95 (186)
Invested
$2,578.89
Value
β
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
51%
4776-4635 (9411)
Invested
$935
Value
β
PnL
-$935
Record
46%
431-514 (945)
Invested
$1,075.42
Value
β
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
52%
4919-4468 (9387)
RN1CTRInvested
$887.88
Value
β
PnL
-$887.88
Record
53%
61623-53954 (115577)
latvian.demonCTRInvested
$653.12
Value
β
PnL
-$653.12
Record
54%
788-661 (1449)
Invested
$434.27
Value
β
PnL
-$434.27
Record
53%
12171-10676 (22847)
Invested
$317.08
Value
β
PnL
-$522.48
Record
54%
18236-15351 (33587)
Invested
$5,191.99
Value
$663.32
PnL
+$116.79
Record
56%
8330-6493 (14823)
Invested
$41.58
Value
$89.41
PnL
+$47.84
Record
48%
61607-66479 (128086)
Invested
$27.95
Value
$50.43
PnL
+$22.48
Record
50%
4446-4373 (8819)
Invested
$109.95
Value
β
PnL
-$28.75
Record
54%
9944-8355 (18299)
Invested
$11
Value
$20
PnL
+$9
Record
51%
3806-3729 (7535)
Invested
$0.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.05
Record
47%
9391-10519 (19910)
Invested
$0.79
Value
β
PnL
-$0.79
Record
52%
8805-8014 (16819)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

CUTJALENHURTS
CTROver β $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Under β $54.3K
luckycat888888
Under β $9.0K
6512395314597884
CTROver β $0
SunflowaRebuildYear
CTROver β $0
takeormake
CTROver β $0

RN1
CTROver β $0

latvian.demon
CTROver β $0
justaluckydude
CTROver β $0
HomeRunHazard
CTROver β $0