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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJudgeLanceRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)67% (33–16, n=49)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M-$36K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #493PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (173 of 230 open)no open consensus position50% (37 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −16 pts, n=13—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 50% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)71% (won 54% of 48)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)22% (won 87% of 15)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJudgeLanceRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $2.8K—Taylor Fritz $1.4K
Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7K—Yes $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $600—Over $3.3K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $3.8K—Max Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $40—Over $1.2K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $178—Over $959
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $287—Ipek Oz $680
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $430—Under $2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $348—Under $41
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $222—Hornets $124
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $188—Cavaliers $107
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110—Over $75
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $18K—No $20K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $5.0K—Anastasia Zakharova $9.4K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $2.6K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Over $2.9K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $1.3K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $942—No $729
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $33—Julia Riera $1.4K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $333—No $841
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $106—Juan Bautista Torres $1.0K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
—Zsombor Piros $274—Zsombor Piros $774
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $470—Yes $408
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $424—Under $158
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $361—Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $11—Carlo Alberto Caniato $300
W50 Huamantla: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Victoria Rodriguez
same side · consensus Victoria Rodriguez
—Victoria Rodriguez $10—Victoria Rodriguez $239
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $42
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $65—No $11
Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $36—Yes $17
Exact Score: SG Dynamo Dresden 1 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11—Yes $6