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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazardhortikkk
Record (consensus markets)55% (58–47, n=105)71% (2821–1175, n=3996)52% (590–548, n=1138)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL$381K$528K$400K$526
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #883
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)47% (89 of 189 open)66% (50 of 76 open)44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 531)2% (won 100% of 6)—
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 315)32% (won 100% of 100)—
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 61% of 150)60% (won 100% of 189)—
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 320)7% (won 100% of 22)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazardhortikkk
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.3KSaints $20K—
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1649ers $8.4K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $31Under $1.7K—
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.3K—Yes $83
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $77Mavericks $202—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $612Seahawks $20K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $310Vikings $6.8K—
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $360Rockets $2.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $156Mavericks $2.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $2.0K—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $683—Yes $44
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $411—Yes $26
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
—Creighton Bluejays $51Creighton Bluejays $300—