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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | FakePolls | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 62% (240–148, n=388) | 48% (14355–15860, n=30215) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $199K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #202 | PM monthly #26 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 79% (11 of 14 open) | 62% (28 of 45 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 87% of 281 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 48% of 27) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 98% of 154) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | FakePolls | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | Yes $9.0K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |