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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDavidShekelFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)68% (373–174, n=547)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$169K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #372PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)75% (3 of 4 open)68% (219 of 323 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • F1 +21 pts n=92, ROI −12%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=256, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=17, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)24% (won 19% of 129)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 74% of 31)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 90% of 86)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)55% (won 99% of 297)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDavidShekelFlaznorp
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $330K—Pacers $3.2K
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29K—Pelicans $687
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17K—Pelicans $916
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343—Pacers $252
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $283—Pelicans $74
Hawks vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.8K—Hawks $4.8K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $944—Pistons $672