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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | DavidShekel | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 37% (379–648, n=1027) | 52% (6450–5961, n=12411) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $169K | $3.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #372 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #102 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 76% (35 of 46 open) | 74% (159 of 214 open) | 71% (107 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −7 pts, n=17 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 24% (won 18% of 136) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 76% of 34) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 15% (won 90% of 87) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 56% (won 99% of 321) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.