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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankDavidShekelFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)45% (573–710, n=1283)37% (379–643, n=1022)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$9.4M$169K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #69PM monthly #3PM monthly #374PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)71% (24 of 34 open)74% (34 of 46 open)74% (139 of 189 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • F1 +21 pts n=89, ROI −13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=269, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −7 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)24% (won 18% of 136)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 76% of 34)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)15% (won 90% of 87)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)56% (won 99% of 321)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankDavidShekelFlaznorp
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $80K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $56No $88K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic $12K——Antonia Ruzic $25K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $275—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K——Quentin Halys $861
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $5—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——Yes $2.6K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $1.0K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KYes $70—
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $364Yes $17—