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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | DavidShekel | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 68% (373–174, n=547) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $169K | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #368 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (11 of 21 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 69% (182 of 265 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −7 pts, n=17 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 24% (won 19% of 129) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 74% of 31) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 90% of 86) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 55% (won 99% of 297) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | DavidShekel | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.1K | — | Celtics $215 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $217 | — | Jazz $4 | — |