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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (99–119, n=218)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$12K$4.1M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #839PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus29% (15 of 51 open)66% (102 of 155 open)no open consensus position73% (111 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won39% of 54 at avg 23¢, ROI +11%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 21% of 34)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 67% of 12)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 67% of 6)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 2)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2Yes $814——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $360No $328——
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $400No $176——
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6Yes $561——
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $244No $109——
Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $282——
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7Under $117——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $92——
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7No $80——
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36No $7——
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12No $18——
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1No $8——
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.2K—No $18K
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $228No $38——
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $234——
Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $92No $72——
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28—No $115
Will CD Tarancón win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $101——
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $19Under $12——