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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (339–73, n=412) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | -$566K | $3.6M | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #417 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 54% (44 of 82 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $245 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.2K | — |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | Over $227 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $218 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $274 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $69 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $698 | Under $419 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $599 | Over $413 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $796 |
| Spread: James Madison (-16.5) same side · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $450 | James Madison $95 | — |