Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Alegrandebigndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)93% (1486–114, n=1600)63% (990–573, n=1563)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)50% (20929–20600, n=41529)
Consensus PnL-$8.2K$3.2M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #818PM monthly #106PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus94% (32 of 34 open)73% (81 of 111 open)62% (29 of 47 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=762NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won92% of 1026 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 13% of 32)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 44% of 39)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 63% of 48)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 99% of 907)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $176No $270
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5No $42K——
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $781No $29K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $508Yes $525——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $791