Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AMLFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)57% (4–3, n=7)71% (2770–1157, n=3927)48% (665–719, n=1384)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$362K$526K$856K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #152PM monthly #8PM monthly #14PM monthly #58
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position43% (51 of 118 open)35% (6 of 17 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)0%
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAMLFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Kings
—New Zealand Breakers $2Sydney Kings $6.9K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174—Chiefs $6.1K
Kobe: Maximus Jones vs Yuki Mochizuki
opposite sides · consensus Maximus Jones
—Maximus Jones $2.0KYuki Mochizuki $286—
KCC Egis vs. Daegu Pegasus
opposite sides · consensus KCC Egis
—KCC Egis $319Daegu Pegasus $974—
LG Sakers vs. Sonic Boom
opposite sides · consensus Sonic Boom
—LG Sakers $336Sonic Boom $8—
India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India
opposite sides · consensus New Zealand
—India $55New Zealand $21—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303—Vikings $5.8K
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $327Melbourne Renegades $42—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15—Cowboys $254
ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy T20s: Thailand Women vs Zimbabwe Women
same side · consensus Zimbabwe Women
—Thailand Women $11Thailand Women $11—
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Karnali Yaks
same side · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
—Karnali Yaks $9Karnali Yaks $3—