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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf6aacd6b951f2667f966f9428667961bc40acd84-1793346180905FlaznorpHomeRunHazardndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (741–246, n=987)55% (201–167, n=368)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$70K$227K$2
Tracked asPM monthly #626PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #151
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (80 of 120 open)67% (41 of 61 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)100% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)0%
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf6aacd6b951f2667f966f9428667961bc40acd84-1793346180905FlaznorpHomeRunHazardndb1
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $10Bucks $3.2K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65Under $1.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $190Celtics $399—
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines
—Marquette Golden Eagles $13Michigan Wolverines $516—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $123Rockets $82—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $5.2K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.4KRockets $838—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $6Vikings $1.9K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367Bucks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $218Cavaliers $915—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $430—
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Florida A&M Rattlers
—Kansas City Roos $100Kansas City Roos $261—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $201Raptors $19—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $56—