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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xdda247bD26D5eE9499F5197096dEaff6B0074814-1767295291381FlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)100% (4–0, n=4)71% (2750–1138, n=3888)84% (26–5, n=31)53% (498–446, n=944)
Consensus PnL$19K$518K$341K$664K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #885PM monthly #8PM monthly #108PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 5 open)54% (69 of 127 open)no open consensus position40% (28 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=19, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)3% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)10% (won 100% of 3)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)21% (won 83% of 6)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)66% (won 95% of 19)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xdda247bD26D5eE9499F5197096dEaff6B0074814-1767295291381FlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30—Utah $15K
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.6K—Nitin Kumar Sinha $49
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $1.6K—Oklahoma $507
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $221
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $37—Flames $156
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
—Utah $50—Sharks $22
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Amanda Nunes $156—Amanda Nunes $68K
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $225—Flames $10K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $779—Texas Tech $5.9K
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $32—Islanders $368
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $19—Over $319
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3