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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (648–704, n=1352)84% (26–5, n=31)53% (510–448, n=958)
Consensus PnL$0$777K$341K$681K
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #19PM monthly #125PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (34 of 64 open)no open consensus position44% (31 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=19, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 23)3% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 145)10% (won 100% of 3)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 219)21% (won 83% of 6)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 35)66% (won 95% of 19)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $15K—Ducks $592
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $7—Flames $11K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $8.9K—Arizona $1.3K
Wyoming vs. UTEP
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
—UTEP $132—Wyoming $3.7K
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $15—Flames $171
Spread: Flames (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $62—Flames $30
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Josh Hokit $26K—Josh Hokit $37K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $54K—Texas Tech $4.8K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $19K—Over $677
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $21—Under $4.4K
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus UTSA
—North Texas $2.3K—North Texas $587
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4—Over $1.7K
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $13—Over $509
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $421—Over $91