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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (1040–738, n=1778)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$287K$7.7M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #844PM monthly #1PM monthly #48PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (177 of 220 open)86% (37 of 43 open)54% (7 of 13 open)54% (37 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicOther Sports −8 pts, n=41———
Settled positions, side won59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 5% of 502)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 99)36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 65% of 130)35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 96% of 771)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Chargers $294KTexans $1.3KTexans $9.3K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $100KTexans $1.3KTexans $2.1K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $104KPackers $80KPackers $3.9K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $124KCardinals $5.7K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $103K—76ers $1.1K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14KUnder $1.5K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $9.5KOver $2.7K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $3.9KTexans $1.5K—
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $1.6KSeahawks $2.5K
Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $803Over $1.8K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $258Seahawks $2.3K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $293Yes $2.2K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
—Packers $143K—Packers $489
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0KYes $74K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $512Yes $23K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
No $3.0KNo $16K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $63Yes $503——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15Yes $132——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $56——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $21——