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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99shineforeverr
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2090–853, n=2943)55% (392–321, n=713)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$856K$388K$426K$318
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #13PM monthly #103PM monthly #251
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position51% (113 of 223 open)43% (29 of 68 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 37% of 79)25% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 59% of 138)50% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 72% of 243)0%
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)19% (won 98% of 107)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99shineforeverr
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.5KYes $346—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6KYes $1.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $909Yes $374—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $21Team Falcons $731—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $406Over $11—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $74—
Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $960Yes $100—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $5Georgia State $512—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $46—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7Yes $3—