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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 40% (75–113, n=188) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $315K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | 58% (143 of 247 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 19% (won 14% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 26% (won 44% of 50) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 29% (won 59% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 25% (won 77% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | Eastern Michigan $417 | Central Michigan $12K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.7K | — | Lakers $3 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $4.2K | Sacramento State $765 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.5K | UMass $1.0K | — |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | Under $194 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $80 | Toledo $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.2K | Sacramento State $800 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $797 | Over $2.1K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $1.4K | Central Michigan $815 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | — | Bucks $765 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $298 | Sacramento State $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $984 | Central Michigan $596 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $900 | UMass $671 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $1.0K | Sacramento State $463 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $480 | UMass $457 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $82 | — | Under $830 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $243 | Sacramento State $462 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $142 | Sacramento State $176 | — |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $26K | — | Central Michigan $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | Raptors $275 | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $3.0K | UMass $804 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Over $179 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-3.5) same side · consensus UMass | UMass $389 | — | UMass $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $2.0K | Toledo $652 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.5K | Toledo $377 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $438 | Toledo $773 | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $283 | — | Under $428 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $176 | Toledo $429 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2 | Toledo $582 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $182 | Under $11 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $54 | — | Over $27 | — |