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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 57% (1110–846, n=1956) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $84K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (17 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 56% (33 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 28% (won 12% of 436) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 10% (won 38% of 160) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 15% (won 75% of 225) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 47% (won 97% of 716) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Raiders $10K | — | 49ers $85K | Raiders $16 |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.7K | — | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $1.6K | Seahawks $4.1K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Cardinals $247 | Seahawks $3.9K |
| Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $803 | Over $1.8K |
| Texans vs. Chargers same side · consensus Texans | Texans $233K | — | — | Texans $8.5K |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $96K | — | — | Heat $136 |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $76K | Packers $4.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $46K | — | — | Seahawks $3.9K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Texans $23K | — | Texans $9.4K | — |