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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (37–39, n=76)43% (122–164, n=286)no settled market68% (310–145, n=455)
Consensus PnL-$387K$199K—-$57K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #34PM monthly #160PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)66% (31 of 47 open)no open consensus position77% (34 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21—NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1RN1
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $4.3KElmer Moeller $9.1K—Elmer Moeller $8.4K
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Francisco Comesana $8.3KMarco Cecchinato $80K——
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $53KJazz $17K——
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $18KUnder $735——
CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.7K——Under $1.0K
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo
opposite sides · consensus Dali Blanch
Dali Blanch $32Marko Topo $1.5K——
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $278—No $641
W50 Chihuahua: Isabella Marton vs Demi Tran
opposite sides · consensus Demi Tran
—Isabella Marton $49—Demi Tran $497
Will CP Mijas-Las Lagunas win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22—No $158
Will CP Mijas-Las Lagunas vs. Real Jaén CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $56—Yes $3
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula $3.1KJessica Pegula $8.9K——
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192Kent State $1.2K——
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Under $26
Will CF Trival Valderas win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $321—No $585
W35 Weston, FL: Salma Djoubri vs Alina Shcherbinina
same side · consensus Alina Shcherbinina
—Salma Djoubri $7—Salma Djoubri $615
Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet
same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet
—Oliver Tarvet $9—Oliver Tarvet $436
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
same side · consensus Kyrian Jacquet
—Hugo Grenier $227—Hugo Grenier $198
Will CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $192—No $50