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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1wpj
Record (consensus markets)44% (47–59, n=106)43% (158–208, n=366)67% (429–211, n=640)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$550K$54K-$142K—
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #42PM monthly #43 + pinnedwas PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)78% (21 of 27 open)48% (12 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1wpj
Predators vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Predators $34KKings $123—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $2.0KTrail Blazers $22K——
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KUnder $85—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $295Over $60—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $253Under $58—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $113Over $194—
W75 Brisbane: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Emerson Jones
opposite sides · consensus Emerson Jones
—Emerson Jones $231Chengyiyi Yuan $24—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $109Trail Blazers $85—
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.1KOver $174—
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida
same side · consensus Kaichi Uchida
Joel Schwaerzler $597—Joel Schwaerzler $758—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $652Trail Blazers $612—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $278Trail Blazers $562——
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $267Under $94—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $105Under $59—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $77Trail Blazers $77—