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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4537–3326, n=7863)65% (4204–2225, n=6429)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #994PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)52% (98 of 190 open)50% (79 of 158 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)4% (won 100% of 43)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)13% (won 100% of 156)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)26% (won 100% of 310)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)58% (won 100% of 703)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $111KCarlos Alcaraz $67Taylor Fritz $24K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $194Yes $36No $1.8K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $79No $5
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $12K—Under $9
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7.6K—Under $25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $249—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.1K—No $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $67No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $52Over $1.6K
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $73Under $492
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade
opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
—Andres Andrade $11Maks Kasnikowski $348
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $280No $5
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $176Yes $49
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $55Under $168
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $155Under $31
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $175Under $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105Over $36
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5Over $124
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $11Cavaliers $107
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $101Under $7
Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $88Yes $6
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
—Facundo Acosta $62Marco Cecchinato $9
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7Under $55
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3Over $7
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $259Yes $5.6K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $142No $3.9K
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $365No $3.2K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $173Over $2.9K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
—Everton FC $49Everton FC $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60Under $1.3K
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Nuno Borges $23Nuno Borges $1.3K
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Coventry City FC
—Everton FC $41Everton FC $995
W50 Huamantla: Valeriya Strakhova vs Cadence Brace
same side · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $17Cadence Brace $790
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $44No $617
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $111No $529
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11Under $464
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $52Over $360
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $44Hornets $365
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $151No $210
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $17Hornets $341
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $79Kings $245
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $32Over $240
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $57Yes $170
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $25Over $191
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $49Under $125
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $13Over $153
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $11Wizards $116
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $14Kings $110