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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JudgeLanceRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)52% (47–44, n=91)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$8.2M-$49K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #515PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus46% (16 of 35 open)no open consensus position57% (76 of 133 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NBA −11 pts, n=14—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%63% of 73 at avg 61¢, ROI +3%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)1% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)5% (won 50% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)68% (won 56% of 50)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)25% (won 89% of 18)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JudgeLanceRN1S-Works
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $377K—Eagles $11K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $24K—Rams $17K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $19K—Eagles $3.2K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $17K—Under $4.5K—
Spread: Saints (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Saints $332—Browns $2.4K—
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Chargers
Texans $133K—Texans $1.6K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $83K—Eagles $290—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $34K—No $16K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $778—No $27K—
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $74—Broncos $2.4K—