Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GrokEnjoyerprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)53% (291–261, n=552)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$54K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #752PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (19 of 27 open)77% (10 of 13 open)67% (26 of 39 open)59% (145 of 245 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=183——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%54% of 577 at avg 53¢, ROI +1%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)30% (won 8% of 171)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)14% (won 46% of 83)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)20% (won 59% of 116)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)36% (won 92% of 207)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GrokEnjoyerprimmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902—Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $175
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.9K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $797Over $2.1K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $1.7KSacramento State $765
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3K——Bucks $765
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.4K
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $583
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $900UMass $374
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $480UMass $457
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $82——Under $830
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $149No $733——
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $243Sacramento State $462
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $142Sacramento State $181
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $49
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $50KYes $2.5K——
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $26K——Central Michigan $1.1K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K——Raptors $275
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——UMass $3.0KUMass $804
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $2.0KToledo $958
Spread: UMass (-3.5)
same side · consensus UMass
UMass $389——UMass $2.5K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KOver $179
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $1.5KToledo $377
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $438Toledo $773
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $283——Under $428
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $176Toledo $429
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2Toledo $582
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $182Under $11
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $54——Over $27