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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorprobustmstThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–72, n=143)75% (862–280, n=1142)42% (13–18, n=31)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$252K$95K$208K$99
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #23PM monthly #28PM monthly #212
Sides with the consensus44% (15 of 34 open)67% (216 of 323 open)no open consensus position100% (7 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Crypto −11 pts, n=16
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%73% of 146 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)0%14% (won 29% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)26% (won 45% of 56)85% (won 100% of 11)10% (won 50% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)14% (won 69% of 29)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 65% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 63)0%64% (won 88% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorprobustmstThanksGivingTurkey1001
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $12KKnicks $205——
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $150Lakers $1.5K——
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $789Over $147——
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Knicks $63Cavaliers $583——
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $351Under $45——
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $23Knicks $7——
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $15KRaptors $799——
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $11KRaptors $1.3K——
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A
same side · consensus Teletubisie
Teletubisie $5.3KTeletubisie $453——
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $3.9KBulls $1.2K——
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Bucks $2.5KBucks $568——
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $178Under $464——
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Bulls $298Bulls $161——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $96Vikings $6——