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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpmachbutRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3296, n=7817)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)59% (22–15, n=37)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$30K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24was PM monthly #879PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)71% (196 of 277 open)67% (2 of 3 open)57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 0% of 3)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 40% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)16% (won 60% of 5)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 94% of 18)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpmachbutRN1
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
Philip Henning $1.6KPhilip Henning $2.0K—Philip Henning $8.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
—GenOne $2—Brute $523
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $11K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $1.1K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—Yes $5.4K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $90—Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.9KRider Broncs $171——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $270—Over $686
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $48—Julio Cesar Porras $19