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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplaidaodaoRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)65% (30–16, n=46)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$1.5K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #137PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)74% (142 of 192 open)100% (8 of 8 open)49% (19 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%73% of 37 at avg 71¢, ROI −1%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)22% (won 0% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)3% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)70% (won 92% of 26)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorplaidaodaoRN1
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $15KMai Hontama $9.2K—Mai Hontama $18K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $238——
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.0KUnder $803——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.8KNo $1.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Kilian Feldbausch $114—Sumit Nagal $670
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
opposite sides · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Dalibor Svrcina $3—Zsombor Piros $579
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $41—Over $153
FC UTA Arad leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $49—Yes $3
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $9.8K
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $102
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $86—Under $9