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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1uu9978
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3295, n=7816)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)83% (5–1, n=6)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$14.8M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #942
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)71% (192 of 269 open)58% (18 of 31 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%80% of 5 at avg 61¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)40% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)40% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1uu9978
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $44Oriana Gniewkowska $5—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $23KSorana Cirstea $21K—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $23KAnastasia Zakharova $17K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13KOver $8——
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $3.6KRider Broncs $175——
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $1.9K—
Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $747—
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Toby Samuel $65Toby Samuel $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $644No $517—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $261Over $664—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127Yes $176—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42—