← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (41–44, n=85) | no settled market | 75% (510–174, n=684) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$367K | $0 | $59K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #214 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #158 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (126 of 191 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 1 at avg 75¢, ROI −2% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 0% | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 0% | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | Magic $206 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $35K | — | Bucks $7 | — |
| Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios same side · consensus Tomas Barrios | Tomas Barrios $27K | — | Tomas Barrios $2.4K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | Over $1 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $18K | — | Bucks $258 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | — | Heat $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.1K | — | Bucks $246 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $10 | — | Jazz $181 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $51 | — | Miami (OH) $36 | — |