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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | no settled market | 74% (427–151, n=578) | 68% (307–142, n=449) |
| Consensus PnL | -$380K | $0 | $58K | -$39K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #211 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (97 of 140 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 1 at avg 75¢, ROI −2% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 0% | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 0% | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $953 | — |
| Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton opposite sides · consensus Hynek Barton | — | — | Lui Maxted $1.3K | Hynek Barton $3.2K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Arthur Rinderknech $2.7K | — | — | Arthur Rinderknech $43K |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente same side · consensus Daniel Rincon | — | — | Daniel Rincon $1.9K | Daniel Rincon $10K |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | — | Over $287 | — |
| Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Nicolas Jarry same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry | — | — | Nicolas Jarry $299 | Nicolas Jarry $3.7K |
| Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka same side · consensus Daniil Glinka | — | — | Daniil Glinka $328 | Daniil Glinka $654 |
| Hersonissos 3: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Philip Henning same side · consensus Philip Henning | — | — | Philip Henning $360 | Philip Henning $500 |
| Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert | — | — | Pierre-Hugues Herbert $54 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685 |