← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (59–65, n=124) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 75% (730–246, n=976) | 55% (200–166, n=366) |
| Consensus PnL | -$301K | $822K | $71K | $227K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 66% (53 of 80 open) | 70% (26 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 60% (won 100% of 12) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $182K | Ciryl Gane $317K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B opposite sides · consensus MOUZ | MOUZ $77K | — | G2 $3 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle opposite sides · consensus Henry Searle | Robin Bertrand $3.6K | — | Henry Searle $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $10 | Bucks $2.9K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $64 | Under $1.0K |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $125 | Rockets $80 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B same side · consensus Spirit | Spirit $72K | — | Spirit $42 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $83 | Under $2.7K |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $1.4K | Rockets $791 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | — | Vikings $1.8K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $15 | Over $376 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $3 | Rockets $55 |