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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (5571–5156, n=10727)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$587K$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #88PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)86% (24 of 28 open)72% (92 of 127 open)70% (308 of 439 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Golf −2 pts, n=108Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 19% of 1341)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)35% (won 46% of 3607)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 61% of 3523)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)17% (won 86% of 1699)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $773—Yes $11KNo $31K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $119K——Arthur Fils $8.6K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11——No $93K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $48K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KNo $4.7K—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $903Yes $20K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $15KYes $4.3K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $4.8K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K——Under $1.6K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $11No $14K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $11K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K——Under $948
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $13K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $211K——Yes $24K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $87K——No $7.3K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K——Under $3.2K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $23KYes $3.1K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $779—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29——No $13K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4.1KYes $6.5K—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $7.1KHeat $108
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $106——No $6.2K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870——Julia Riera $4.8K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161——No $4.1K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KYes $96—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27Yes $463—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $164Yes $56—