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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954658m1keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)no settled market42% (124–169, n=293)68% (313–146, n=459)
Consensus PnL-$384K—$172K-$105K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #44PM monthly #35PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (6 of 12 open)no open consensus position74% (29 of 39 open)68% (28 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%—100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)—6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)—42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)—40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)—12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954658m1keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula $3.5K—Jessica Pegula $17KJessica Pegula $18K
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $3.9K—Elmer Moeller $12KElmer Moeller $8.8K
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52K—Jazz $17K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $19K—Under $742—
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo
opposite sides · consensus Marko Topo
Dali Blanch $37—Marko Topo $1.8K—
W50 Chihuahua: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Miriana Tona
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Tikhonova
——Anastasia Tikhonova $209Miriana Tona $145
Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet
same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet
——Oliver Tarvet $4.4KOliver Tarvet $985
Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $4.3KAidan Mayo $38
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
same side · consensus Kyrian Jacquet
——Hugo Grenier $2.7KHugo Grenier $128
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192—Kent State $1.2K—
W35 Weston, FL: Salma Djoubri vs Alina Shcherbinina
same side · consensus Alina Shcherbinina
——Salma Djoubri $10Salma Djoubri $669
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4——Under $18