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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2F03D0DA9Bba3Ac384696c7E18CA86b9d46eda8FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (13343–10705, n=24048)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL—$1.4M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #699PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (80 of 121 open)57% (16 of 28 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 84¢, ROI +3%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢0%14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up75% (won 100% of 3)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2F03D0DA9Bba3Ac384696c7E18CA86b9d46eda8FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $5.5KYannick Hanfmann $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Machac
—Tomas Machac $1.0KBorna Gojo $502—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $12KCameron Norrie $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
same side · consensus Massimo Giunta
—Massimo Giunta $609Massimo Giunta $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $21—