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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Record (consensus markets)76% (444–139, n=583)75% (730–246, n=976)55% (200–166, n=366)66% (476–241, n=717)
Consensus PnL$44K$69K$227K-$145K
Tracked asPM monthly #717PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (56 of 87 open)68% (27 of 40 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 12)13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 100% of 36)34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $1.8K—Johannus Monday $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $10Bucks $2.9K—
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
opposite sides · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $1.1K—Teodora Miron $602
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
—Felix Gill $801—Massimo Giunta $749
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
opposite sides · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $228—Giorgia Pedone $873
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $64Under $1.0K—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $125Rockets $80—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.4KRockets $791—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
same side · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
—Giulia Safina Popa $288—Giulia Safina Popa $405
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $15Over $376—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $55—