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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)70% (1653–707, n=2360)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$146K$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #165PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (25 of 45 open)85% (28 of 33 open)69% (133 of 192 open)55% (42 of 76 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +34 pts n=379, ROI +6%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=497, ROI +25%
  • NFL +27 pts n=65, ROI +9%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won99% of 1297 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 87% of 76)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 163)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 758)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $1.3KRavens $298K—Jaguars $4.0K
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $7—No $4.7KNo $3.3K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Canucks $5—Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $550Ravens $192K——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $89K—Jaguars $243
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
——Andres Andrade $4.7KJames Kent Trotter $10K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
EC Bahia leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.8KYes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.4K—Jaguars $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.3KOver $812
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $2.8K—Jaguars $151
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $118
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cruzeiro EC
——Cruzeiro EC $874EC Bahia $103
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $564
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $81Warriors $500
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Heat $444Warriors $107
Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $296—Under $2—
Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $244—Under $42—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $131Yes $28
Bryant Bulldogs vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats
opposite sides · consensus Quinnipiac Bobcats
Bryant Bulldogs $27—Quinnipiac Bobcats $65—
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Oilers $10—Ducks $18—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
——Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.8KThiago Seyboth Wild $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $9.6KOver $1.1K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.3KOver $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $246No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $322
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $287—Ravens $688
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $676No $138
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $29Canucks $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8Under $313
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hurricanes
Hurricanes $59—Hurricanes $244—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $292Over $5
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $174Warriors $97
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $120—Over $138—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $156Under $11
Will Cancun FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $125Yes $17
Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
Hurricanes $23—Hurricanes $54—