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1B
Consensus PnL $97K · win rate 75% (1453–495, n=1948) · PM monthly #235 · holds 16 consensus positions
0x1bc32be1...1a5cdc6ePolymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$97.4K
Record
1453W / 495L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 1948 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#436
Source
PM monthly #235
Record (90 d)
1935/2199 · 88%
Trades
406
Markets
3,536
Volume
$1.2M
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Large accounts take up to ~20 s
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Top consensus positions
16 in listed consensus markets · 11 of 16 on the consensus side (69%)- Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?No $17K · now 99¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (80% of 45)
- Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?No $6.5K · now 99¢ · in at 74¢with the consensus (82% of 33)
- Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes $6.3K · now 99¢ · in at 84¢with the consensus (33% of 43)
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?No $578 · now 86¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes $69 · now 75¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (40% of 58)
- Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?No $45 · now 93¢ · in at 30¢with the consensus (86% of 22)
- Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes $38 · now 99¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (74% of 43)
- Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?No $27 · now 71¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (77% of 31)