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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)73% (1488–538, n=2026)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)
Consensus PnL$97K$9.4M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #169PM monthly #1PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus64% (46 of 72 open)52% (13 of 25 open)68% (182 of 269 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won99% of 1134 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 90% of 62)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 99% of 146)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 266)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 660)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $218KPacers $6.0K
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $21—Jazz $2.2K
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $8—Grizzlies $2.2K
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357Pacers $1.5K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13—Under $1.4K
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $9—Over $511
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $17—Under $334
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $43—Under $303
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $23Jazz $323—
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2—Under $315
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $21—Lakers $287
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $20—Under $261
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6—Over $182
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $134—Pacers $49
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $15—Suns $124
Jazz vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $1.6KJazz $75K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $76Jazz $19K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $10K—Pacers $7.4K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $16—Under $3.9K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $20—Under $2.4K
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $80—Thunder $2.3K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $63—Over $2.0K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $83—Under $1.8K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $87—Over $1.1K
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $33—Over $1.1K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7—Over $1.1K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $26—Pacers $769
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3—Over $732
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7—Under $509
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $58—Under $389
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $35—Grizzlies $399
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $8—Timberwolves $173