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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)65% (2584–1383, n=3967)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL$174K$8.4M$1.4M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #155PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)89% (33 of 37 open)65% (144 of 223 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1506 at avg 72¢, ROI +12%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 78)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 100% of 181)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 345)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 100% of 902)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $16KBills $77—