Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
Resolved Under. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Under 42%
2 arb excluded
$14.5K
-$345.7
Smart Money Signal
5 of 12 top traders (42%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Underavg 55.2Β’ | $7.1K | $12.6K | +$5.5K | 54% 18039-15168 (33207) |
JO JoeyAroyyOOCTR | Overavg 45Β’ | $11.9K | β | $-5.4K | 46% 72-83 (155) |
GA GamblingOdysseyCTR | Overavg 45Β’ | $895.5 | β | -$895.5 | 51% 906-854 (1760) |
HE Herdonia | Underavg 55Β’ | $602.57 | $1.1K | +$466.97 | 51% 3584-3513 (7097) |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Underavg 55Β’ | $241.41 | $250 | +$8.59 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 55Β’ | $137.5 | $250 | +$112.5 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 45.2Β’ | $103.91 | β | -$103.91 | |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 59.5Β’ | $205.43 | $335.48 | +$130.06 | 51% 24452-23135 (47587) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR | Overavg 45Β’ | $180 | β | -$180 | 51% 1831-1762 (3593) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Overavg 43Β’ | $84.81 | β | -$84.81 | 56% 7920-6245 (14165) |
SE sentrioARB<$100 | Underavg 55Β’ | $63.35 | $72.99 | +$9.64 | 50% 25577-25281 (50858) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 55Β’ | $40.14 | $72.99 | +$32.85 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 46Β’ | $23.21 | β | -$23.21 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Underavg 56.2Β’ | $51.74 | $92 | +$40.26 | 61% 2426-1548 (3974) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 57Β’ | $35.19 | $61.74 | +$26.55 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
DV dv-pmCTR<$100 | Overavg 47.2Β’ | $11.34 | β | -$11.4 | 49% 3309-3463 (6772) |
TA takeormakeCTR<$100 | Overavg 44.2Β’ | $8.85 | β | -$8.85 | 53% 4711-4219 (8930) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 45Β’ | $1.64 | β | -$1.64 | 58% 45573-32987 (78560) |
Invested
$7,076.52
Value
$12.6K
PnL
+$5.5K
Record
54%
18039-15168 (33207)
Invested
$11,942.2
Value
β
PnL
$-5.4K
Record
46%
72-83 (155)
Invested
$895.5
Value
β
PnL
-$895.5
Record
51%
906-854 (1760)
Invested
$602.57
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$466.97
Record
51%
3584-3513 (7097)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$241.41
Value
$250
PnL
+$8.59
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
Both legs:
Invested
$205.43
Value
$335.48
PnL
+$130.06
Record
51%
24452-23135 (47587)
Invested
$180
Value
β
PnL
-$180
Record
51%
1831-1762 (3593)
Invested
$84.81
Value
β
PnL
-$84.81
Record
56%
7920-6245 (14165)
Invested
$63.35
Value
$72.99
PnL
+$9.64
Record
50%
25577-25281 (50858)
Both legs:
Invested
$51.74
Value
$92
PnL
+$40.26
Record
61%
2426-1548 (3974)
Invested
$35.19
Value
$61.74
PnL
+$26.55
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
Invested
$11.34
Value
β
PnL
-$11.4
Record
49%
3309-3463 (6772)
Invested
$8.85
Value
β
PnL
-$8.85
Record
53%
4711-4219 (8930)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$1.64
Value
β
PnL
-$1.64
Record
58%
45573-32987 (78560)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
Under β $12.6K
JoeyAroyyOO
CTROver β $0
GamblingOdyssey
CTROver β $0
Herdonia
Under β $1.1K

RN1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Flaznorp
Under β $335.48
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
CTROver β $0
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTROver β $0
sentrio
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Under β $92