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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 40% (75–114, n=189) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $14.8M | $316K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #139 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (18 of 25 open) | 60% (130 of 216 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 19% (won 14% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 26% (won 44% of 50) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 29% (won 59% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 25% (won 77% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan $7.5K | Central Michigan $587 | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | Central Michigan $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $3.4K | Central Michigan $18 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | Ball State $2.9K | UMass $358 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.1K | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $2.4K | Sacramento State $631 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $996 | Sacramento State $524 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | Toledo $589 | Sacramento State $842 | — |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | Under $228 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | Toledo $277 | Sacramento State $466 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | Toledo $198 | Sacramento State $62 | — |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan $188 | Central Michigan $33 | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | Ball State $4.1K | Ball State $850 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.4K | Over $182 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | Toledo $2.0K | Toledo $490 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | Toledo $948 | Toledo $785 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | Toledo $266 | Toledo $434 | — |