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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 40% (75–113, n=188) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $315K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | 55% (100 of 181 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 19% (won 14% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 26% (won 44% of 50) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 29% (won 59% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 25% (won 77% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $135 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $7 | Toledo $12K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $4.2K | Sacramento State $765 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | Ball State $2.8K | UMass $1.2K | — |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | Under $528 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.5K | UMass $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.2K | Sacramento State $800 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $80 | Toledo $2.8K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $797 | Over $2.1K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $298 | Sacramento State $1.5K | — |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $900 | UMass $663 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $1.0K | Sacramento State $463 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $480 | UMass $457 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $243 | Sacramento State $462 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $142 | Sacramento State $211 | — |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-1.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $3.1K | UMass $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $3.0K | UMass $804 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Over $179 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.5K | Toledo $377 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $438 | Toledo $773 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $176 | Toledo $429 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $357 | — | Grizzlies $123 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $182 | Under $11 | — |